Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven
18+Eredivisie · Sun 8 Nov, 15:45
Data: excellent
- Cambuur win
- 33%
- Draw
- 26%
- PSV Eindhoven win
- 41%
FootyGrounds prediction
PSV Eindhoven to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score35 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- PSV Eindhoven strength rating 1670 v Cambuur 1606
- PSV Eindhoven away record this season: 3W 0D 2L
- Cambuur home form: 1W 1D 3L, 8 scored / 15 conceded
- Superior goal difference: PSV Eindhoven +15 v Cambuur -3
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 37%, goals 51%, recent form 35%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. Cambuur are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model37%
- Goals model51%
- Recent-form model35%
Component disagreement: 16.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.