PEC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag
18+Eredivisie · Sun 1 Nov, 11:15
Data: excellent
- PEC Zwolle win
- 46%
- Draw
- 23%
- ADO Den Haag win
- 31%
FootyGrounds prediction
PEC Zwolle to win
Model probability 46%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score51 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- PEC Zwolle strength rating 1580 v ADO Den Haag 1578
- PEC Zwolle home record this season: 1W 0D 4L
- ADO Den Haag away form: 0W 2D 3L, 5 scored / 11 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 46%, goals 45%, recent form 48%)
Main uncertainty: ADO Den Haag are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model45%
- Recent-form model48%
Component disagreement: 3.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 46% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 46%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.