Match predictor

• Nacional strength rating 1597 v Famalicão 1608
• Nacional home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
• Famalicão away form: 0W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 44%, goals 41%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: Famalicão are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Gil Vicente strength rating 1618 v Marítimo 1605
• Gil Vicente home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
• Marítimo away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Gil Vicente 0 v Marítimo -4
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 50%, recent form 52%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Alverca strength rating 1609 v Rio Ave 1589
• Alverca home record this season: 0W 2D 1L
• Rio Ave away form: 1W 0D 2L, 2 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Alverca -3 v Rio Ave -9
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 50%, goals 57%, recent form 43%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Sporting CP strength rating 1656 v Arouca 1629
• Sporting CP home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• Arouca away form: 1W 1D 1L, 1 scored / 2 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Sporting CP +9 v Arouca +3
• Sporting CP unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 51%, goals 53%, recent form 55%)

Main uncertainty: Arouca have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Vitória de Guimarães strength rating 1603 v Moreirense 1605
• Vitória de Guimarães home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
• Moreirense away form: 1W 0D 2L, 2 scored / 6 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Vitória de Guimarães -3 v Moreirense -6
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 47%, recent form 40%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Estrela strength rating 1632 v Académico de Viseu 1612
• Estrela home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
• Académico de Viseu away form: 1W 2D 0L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Estrela +2 v Académico de Viseu -2
• Estrela unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 50%, goals 54%, recent form 44%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Académico de Viseu are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Estoril strength rating 1592 v Casa Pia 1569
• Estoril home record this season: 0W 2D 1L
• Casa Pia away form: 0W 1D 2L, 0 scored / 3 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Estoril -6 v Casa Pia -14
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 50%, goals 53%, recent form 60%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• Santa Clara strength rating 1649 v SC Braga 1631
• Santa Clara home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
• SC Braga away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 5 conceded
• Superior goal difference: Santa Clara +7 v SC Braga +2
• Santa Clara unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 50%, goals 52%, recent form 49%)

Main uncertainty: SC Braga are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

• FC Porto strength rating 1676 v Benfica 1680
• FC Porto home record this season: 3W 0D 0L
• Benfica away form: 3W 0D 0L, 14 scored / 0 conceded
• FC Porto unbeaten in their last 5 matches
• Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 45%, goals 44%, recent form 41%)

Main uncertainty: Benfica are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Benfica have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.