SC Braga v Famalicão
18+Primeira Liga · Sun 1 Nov, 20:30
Data: good
- SC Braga win
- 39%
- Draw
- 26%
- Famalicão win
- 35%
FootyGrounds prediction
SC Braga to win
Model probability 39%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- SC Braga strength rating 1608 v Famalicão 1625
- SC Braga home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
- Famalicão away form: 2W 2D 1L, 11 scored / 4 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 43%, goals 37%, recent form 34%)
Main uncertainty: Famalicão are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Famalicão have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model37%
- Recent-form model34%
Component disagreement: 9.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 39% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 39%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:10. Read the methodology.