Santa Clara v Gil Vicente
18+Primeira Liga · Sun 8 Nov, 15:30
Data: good
- Santa Clara win
- 49%
- Draw
- 25%
- Gil Vicente win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
Santa Clara to win
Model probability 49%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Santa Clara strength rating 1649 v Gil Vicente 1626
- Santa Clara home record this season: 2W 2D 1L
- Gil Vicente away form: 2W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Santa Clara +7 v Gil Vicente +1
- Santa Clara have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 50%, goals 48%, recent form 46%)
Main uncertainty: Gil Vicente are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model46%
Component disagreement: 4.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 49% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 49%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:10. Read the methodology.