Académico de Viseu v Rio Ave
18+Primeira Liga · Sun 1 Nov, 18:00
Data: good
- Académico de Viseu win
- 62%
- Draw
- 18%
- Rio Ave win
- 20%
FootyGrounds prediction
Académico de Viseu to win
Model probability 62%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score57 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Académico de Viseu strength rating 1636 v Rio Ave 1574
- Académico de Viseu home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
- Rio Ave away form: 1W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 6 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Académico de Viseu +2 v Rio Ave -13
- Académico de Viseu unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 62% (Elo 57%, goals 66%, recent form 66%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model57%
- Goals model66%
- Recent-form model66%
Component disagreement: 8.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 62% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 62%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:10. Read the methodology.