Estoril v Marítimo
18+Primeira Liga · Sun 8 Nov, 15:30
Data: good
- Estoril win
- 42%
- Draw
- 26%
- Marítimo win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
Estoril to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score44 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Estoril strength rating 1569 v Marítimo 1586
- Estoril home record this season: 0W 2D 3L
- Marítimo away form: 1W 1D 3L, 5 scored / 12 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 43%, goals 41%, recent form 42%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model41%
- Recent-form model42%
Component disagreement: 1.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 42% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 42%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:10. Read the methodology.