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Vancouver Whitecaps FC v Seattle Sounders FC

18+

Major League Soccer · Sun 1 Nov, 21:30

Data: good
Vancouver Whitecaps FC win
52%
Draw
23%
Seattle Sounders FC win
25%

FootyGrounds prediction

Vancouver Whitecaps FC to win

Model probability 52%

Predicted scoreline

2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC strength rating 1620 v Seattle Sounders FC 1620
  • Superior goal difference: Vancouver Whitecaps FC +31 v Seattle Sounders FC +3
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 46%, goals 60%)

Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model46%
  • Goals model60%

Component disagreement: 14.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 52% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:04), now 52%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:11. Read the methodology.