Oxford United v Wycombe Wanderers
18+EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Oxford United win
- 56%
- Draw
- 20%
- Wycombe Wanderers win
- 24%
FootyGrounds prediction
Oxford United to win
Model probability 56%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score54 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Oxford United strength rating 1541 v Wycombe Wanderers 1490
- Oxford United home record this season: 3W 3D 0L
- Wycombe Wanderers away form: 2W 3D 1L, 9 scored / 11 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Oxford United +9 v Wycombe Wanderers -4
- Oxford United unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 56%, goals 62%, recent form 49%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. Wycombe Wanderers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model56%
- Goals model62%
- Recent-form model49%
Component disagreement: 12.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.