Doncaster Rovers v Leyton Orient
18+EFL League One · Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Doncaster Rovers win
- 40%
- Draw
- 26%
- Leyton Orient win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Doncaster Rovers to win
Model probability 40%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score35 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Doncaster Rovers strength rating 1485 v Leyton Orient 1507
- Doncaster Rovers home record this season: 2W 2D 2L
- Leyton Orient away form: 2W 2D 2L, 9 scored / 4 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 42%, goals 33%, recent form 49%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. Leyton Orient have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model42%
- Goals model33%
- Recent-form model49%
Component disagreement: 16.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 43% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 40%.
- 2 new results added
- Away strength rating up 11 points
- Updated rest days for the away club
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.