Plymouth Argyle v Peterborough United
18+EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Plymouth Argyle win
- 57%
- Draw
- 20%
- Peterborough United win
- 23%
FootyGrounds prediction
Plymouth Argyle to win
Model probability 57%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score61 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Plymouth Argyle strength rating 1512 v Peterborough United 1468
- Plymouth Argyle home record this season: 3W 1D 3L
- Peterborough United away form: 1W 2D 4L, 6 scored / 14 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Plymouth Argyle +2 v Peterborough United -11
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 54%, goals 60%, recent form 55%)
Main uncertainty: Peterborough United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model54%
- Goals model60%
- Recent-form model55%
Component disagreement: 5.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.