Blackpool v Wigan Athletic
18+EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 12:30
Data: excellent
- Blackpool win
- 56%
- Draw
- 20%
- Wigan Athletic win
- 24%
FootyGrounds prediction
Blackpool to win
Model probability 56%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score52 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Blackpool strength rating 1476 v Wigan Athletic 1451
- Blackpool home record this season: 2W 2D 2L
- Wigan Athletic away form: 0W 1D 6L, 4 scored / 12 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Blackpool -4 v Wigan Athletic -13
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 51%, goals 57%, recent form 64%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model51%
- Goals model57%
- Recent-form model64%
Component disagreement: 13.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 55% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 56%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.