Leyton Orient v AFC Wimbledon
18+EFL League One · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Leyton Orient win
- 58%
- Draw
- 20%
- AFC Wimbledon win
- 22%
FootyGrounds prediction
Leyton Orient to win
Model probability 58%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score59 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Leyton Orient strength rating 1507 v AFC Wimbledon 1470
- Leyton Orient home record this season: 3W 0D 4L
- AFC Wimbledon away form: 1W 1D 4L, 5 scored / 15 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Leyton Orient +5 v AFC Wimbledon -11
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 58% (Elo 53%, goals 61%, recent form 62%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model53%
- Goals model61%
- Recent-form model62%
Component disagreement: 8.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.