Crystal Palace v Liverpool
18+Premier League · Sun 8 Nov, 14:00
Data: good
- Crystal Palace win
- 30%
- Draw
- 25%
- Liverpool win
- 45%
FootyGrounds prediction
Liverpool to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Liverpool strength rating 1650 v Crystal Palace 1577
- Liverpool away record this season: 3W 1D 0L
- Crystal Palace home form: 1W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 10 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Liverpool +3 v Crystal Palace -10
- Liverpool have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 39%, goals 49%, recent form 52%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model39%
- Goals model49%
- Recent-form model52%
Component disagreement: 13.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:08. Read the methodology.