Ipswich Town v AFC Bournemouth
18+Premier League · Sun 8 Nov, 14:00
Data: good
- Ipswich Town win
- 44%
- Draw
- 24%
- AFC Bournemouth win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
Ipswich Town to win
Model probability 44%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Ipswich Town strength rating 1607 v AFC Bournemouth 1619
- Ipswich Town home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
- AFC Bournemouth away form: 1W 1D 2L, 7 scored / 9 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 44% (Elo 44%, goals 42%, recent form 47%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model42%
- Recent-form model47%
Component disagreement: 5.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 44% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 44%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:08. Read the methodology.