Everton v Coventry City
18+Premier League · Fri 6 Nov, 20:00
Data: good
- Everton win
- 52%
- Draw
- 22%
- Coventry City win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Everton to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score54 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Everton strength rating 1614 v Coventry City 1585
- Everton home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
- Coventry City away form: 1W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 7 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Everton -1 v Coventry City -8
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 52%, goals 52%, recent form 53%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model52%
- Goals model52%
- Recent-form model53%
Component disagreement: 1.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 53% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 52%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:08. Read the methodology.