Coventry City v Crystal Palace
18+Premier League · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: good
- Coventry City win
- 46%
- Draw
- 24%
- Crystal Palace win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Coventry City to win
Model probability 46%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Coventry City strength rating 1585 v Crystal Palace 1577
- Coventry City home record this season: 1W 0D 3L
- Crystal Palace away form: 1W 1D 3L, 3 scored / 12 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Coventry City -8 v Crystal Palace -10
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 48%, goals 47%, recent form 41%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model48%
- Goals model47%
- Recent-form model41%
Component disagreement: 7.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:08. Read the methodology.