Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur
18+Premier League · Sat 7 Nov, 12:30
Data: good
- Leeds United win
- 47%
- Draw
- 25%
- Tottenham Hotspur win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
Leeds United to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score42 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Leeds United strength rating 1632 v Tottenham Hotspur 1612
- Leeds United home record this season: 1W 3D 0L
- Tottenham Hotspur away form: 1W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Leeds United +3 v Tottenham Hotspur -2
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 50%, goals 48%, recent form 40%)
Main uncertainty: Tottenham Hotspur are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model40%
Component disagreement: 9.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 48% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 47%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:08. Read the methodology.