AFC Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest
18+Premier League · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: good
- AFC Bournemouth win
- 49%
- Draw
- 24%
- Nottingham Forest win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
AFC Bournemouth to win
Model probability 49%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- AFC Bournemouth strength rating 1619 v Nottingham Forest 1597
- AFC Bournemouth home record this season: 1W 2D 1L
- Nottingham Forest away form: 1W 2D 1L, 6 scored / 7 conceded
- Superior goal difference: AFC Bournemouth -1 v Nottingham Forest -4
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 50%, goals 48%, recent form 48%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model48%
Component disagreement: 2.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:08. Read the methodology.