Tottenham Hotspur v Ipswich Town
18+Premier League · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: good
- Tottenham Hotspur win
- 47%
- Draw
- 23%
- Ipswich Town win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Tottenham Hotspur to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Tottenham Hotspur strength rating 1612 v Ipswich Town 1607
- Tottenham Hotspur home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
- Ipswich Town away form: 1W 0D 3L, 7 scored / 11 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Tottenham Hotspur -2 v Ipswich Town -4
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 47%, goals 47%, recent form 49%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model47%
- Goals model47%
- Recent-form model49%
Component disagreement: 2.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:08. Read the methodology.