Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford
18+Premier League · Sun 8 Nov, 14:00
Data: good
- Brighton & Hove Albion win
- 57%
- Draw
- 20%
- Brentford win
- 24%
FootyGrounds prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Model probability 57%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score52 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Brighton & Hove Albion strength rating 1666 v Brentford 1633
- Brighton & Hove Albion home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
- Brentford away form: 0W 4D 0L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Brighton & Hove Albion +17 v Brentford +5
- Brighton & Hove Albion have won 4 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 52%, goals 61%, recent form 60%)
Main uncertainty: Brentford are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model52%
- Goals model61%
- Recent-form model60%
Component disagreement: 8.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 57% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 57%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:08. Read the methodology.