Villarreal CF v Getafe CF
18+La Liga · Sun 8 Nov, 17:30
Data: excellent
- Villarreal CF win
- 56%
- Draw
- 21%
- Getafe CF win
- 23%
FootyGrounds prediction
Villarreal CF to win
Model probability 56%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score51 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Villarreal CF strength rating 1615 v Getafe CF 1592
- Villarreal CF home record this season: 1W 1D 3L
- Getafe CF away form: 0W 0D 5L, 0 scored / 12 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Villarreal CF 0 v Getafe CF -10
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 51%, goals 57%, recent form 65%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model51%
- Goals model57%
- Recent-form model65%
Component disagreement: 14.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 56% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 56%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.