Elche v Real Betis
18+La Liga · Sun 8 Nov, 13:00
Data: excellent
- Elche win
- 39%
- Draw
- 25%
- Real Betis win
- 36%
FootyGrounds prediction
Elche to win
Model probability 39%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Elche strength rating 1610 v Real Betis 1635
- Elche home record this season: 0W 1D 3L
- Real Betis away form: 2W 2D 1L, 6 scored / 7 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 41%, goals 40%, recent form 31%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Real Betis are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model41%
- Goals model40%
- Recent-form model31%
Component disagreement: 10.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 39% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 39%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.