Celta Vigo v Levante
18+La Liga · Sun 8 Nov, 17:30
Data: excellent
- Celta Vigo win
- 54%
- Draw
- 21%
- Levante win
- 25%
FootyGrounds prediction
Celta Vigo to win
Model probability 54%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score53 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Celta Vigo strength rating 1621 v Levante 1597
- Celta Vigo home record this season: 2W 2D 2L
- Levante away form: 0W 3D 3L, 3 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Celta Vigo +3 v Levante -5
- Celta Vigo unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 54% (Elo 51%, goals 53%, recent form 61%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model51%
- Goals model53%
- Recent-form model61%
Component disagreement: 10.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 52% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 54%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.