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Deportivo de A Coruña v CA Osasuna

18+

La Liga · Mon 2 Nov, 20:00

Data: excellent
Deportivo de A Coruña win
53%
Draw
21%
CA Osasuna win
25%

FootyGrounds prediction

Deportivo de A Coruña to win

Model probability 53%

Predicted scoreline

2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score55 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • Deportivo de A Coruña strength rating 1618 v CA Osasuna 1592
  • Deportivo de A Coruña home record this season: 1W 3D 1L
  • CA Osasuna away form: 1W 0D 4L, 6 scored / 17 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Deportivo de A Coruña 0 v CA Osasuna -10
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 51%, goals 57%, recent form 50%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model51%
  • Goals model57%
  • Recent-form model50%

Component disagreement: 7.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 53% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 53%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.