Alavés v Deportivo de A Coruña
18+La Liga · Sat 21 Nov, 13:00
Data: excellent
- Alavés win
- 47%
- Draw
- 24%
- Deportivo de A Coruña win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Alavés to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score54 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Alavés strength rating 1620 v Deportivo de A Coruña 1618
- Alavés home record this season: 3W 1D 2L
- Deportivo de A Coruña away form: 1W 2D 2L, 7 scored / 8 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Alavés +3 v Deportivo de A Coruña 0
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 47%, goals 48%, recent form 47%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model47%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model47%
Component disagreement: 1.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 47% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 47%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.