Sevilla FC v Alavés
18+La Liga · Fri 6 Nov, 20:00
Data: excellent
- Sevilla FC win
- 50%
- Draw
- 21%
- Alavés win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Sevilla FC to win
Model probability 50%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Sevilla FC strength rating 1625 v Alavés 1620
- Sevilla FC home record this season: 3W 0D 2L
- Alavés away form: 0W 2D 2L, 3 scored / 5 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 47%, goals 41%, recent form 72%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 30 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model47%
- Goals model41%
- Recent-form model72%
Component disagreement: 30.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 50% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 50%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.