Málaga v Racing de Santander
18+La Liga · Sat 7 Nov, 13:00
Data: excellent
- Málaga win
- 42%
- Draw
- 25%
- Racing de Santander win
- 33%
FootyGrounds prediction
Málaga to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score49 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Málaga strength rating 1572 v Racing de Santander 1593
- Málaga home record this season: 0W 3D 2L
- Racing de Santander away form: 0W 0D 5L, 4 scored / 18 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 42%, goals 41%, recent form 43%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model42%
- Goals model41%
- Recent-form model43%
Component disagreement: 1.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 42% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 42%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.