Frosinone v Torino
18+Serie A · Sun 1 Nov, 14:00
Data: good
- Frosinone win
- 53%
- Draw
- 21%
- Torino win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
Frosinone to win
Model probability 53%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Frosinone strength rating 1647 v Torino 1618
- Frosinone home record this season: 4W 0D 1L
- Torino away form: 2W 1D 1L, 7 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Frosinone +8 v Torino 0
- Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 52%, goals 58%, recent form 46%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. Torino are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model52%
- Goals model58%
- Recent-form model46%
Component disagreement: 11.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 53% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 53%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.