Torino v Lecce
18+Serie A · Sat 7 Nov, 14:00
Data: good
- Torino win
- 53%
- Draw
- 21%
- Lecce win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Torino to win
Model probability 53%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Torino strength rating 1618 v Lecce 1591
- Torino home record this season: 2W 0D 3L
- Lecce away form: 2W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Torino 0 v Lecce -9
- Torino have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 53% (Elo 51%, goals 58%, recent form 49%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model51%
- Goals model58%
- Recent-form model49%
Component disagreement: 9.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 53% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 53%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.