Venezia v Udinese
18+Serie A · Fri 6 Nov, 19:45
Data: good
- Venezia win
- 42%
- Draw
- 25%
- Udinese win
- 33%
FootyGrounds prediction
Venezia to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Venezia strength rating 1561 v Udinese 1577
- Venezia home record this season: 1W 0D 4L
- Udinese away form: 1W 1D 2L, 7 scored / 9 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 43%, goals 39%, recent form 47%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model39%
- Recent-form model47%
Component disagreement: 8.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 43% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 42%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.