AC Milan v Inter Milan
18+Serie A · Sat 31 Oct, 19:45
Data: good
- AC Milan win
- 38%
- Draw
- 26%
- Inter Milan win
- 36%
FootyGrounds prediction
AC Milan to win
Model probability 38%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score32 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- AC Milan strength rating 1646 v Inter Milan 1680
- AC Milan home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
- Inter Milan away form: 3W 1D 0L, 8 scored / 3 conceded
- AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5
- Inter Milan played just 3 days ago
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 39%, goals 38%, recent form 34%)
Main uncertainty: Inter Milan are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Inter Milan have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model39%
- Goals model38%
- Recent-form model34%
Component disagreement: 5.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 38% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 38%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.