Inter Milan v Como
18+Serie A · Sun 8 Nov, 17:00
Data: good
- Inter Milan win
- 49%
- Draw
- 22%
- Como win
- 28%
FootyGrounds prediction
Inter Milan to win
Model probability 49%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Inter Milan strength rating 1680 v Como 1664
- Inter Milan home record this season: 5W 0D 0L
- Como away form: 4W 1D 1L, 13 scored / 7 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Inter Milan +15 v Como +9
- Inter Milan unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 49%, goals 52%, recent form 45%)
Main uncertainty: Como are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model49%
- Goals model52%
- Recent-form model45%
Component disagreement: 6.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 49% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 49%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.