Como v Venezia
18+Serie A · Sun 1 Nov, 11:30
Data: good
- Como win
- 70%
- Draw
- 15%
- Venezia win
- 15%
FootyGrounds prediction
Como to win
Model probability 70%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score59 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Como strength rating 1664 v Venezia 1561
- Como home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- Venezia away form: 0W 0D 4L, 3 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Como +9 v Venezia -13
- Como have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 70% (Elo 64%, goals 73%, recent form 79%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model64%
- Goals model73%
- Recent-form model79%
Component disagreement: 15.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 70% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 70%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.