AS Roma v Sassuolo
18+Serie A · Sat 7 Nov, 19:45
Data: good
- AS Roma win
- 69%
- Draw
- 14%
- Sassuolo win
- 17%
FootyGrounds prediction
AS Roma to win
Model probability 69%
Predicted scoreline
3–1 (range 2–0 to 4–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score58 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- AS Roma strength rating 1676 v Sassuolo 1591
- AS Roma home record this season: 4W 1D 0L
- Sassuolo away form: 0W 1D 4L, 6 scored / 12 conceded
- Superior goal difference: AS Roma +15 v Sassuolo -8
- AS Roma unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 69% (Elo 61%, goals 77%, recent form 74%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model61%
- Goals model77%
- Recent-form model74%
Component disagreement: 16.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 69% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 69%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.