Fiorentina v Juventus
18+Serie A · Sun 8 Nov, 19:45
Data: good
- Fiorentina win
- 34%
- Draw
- 27%
- Juventus win
- 39%
FootyGrounds prediction
Juventus to win
Model probability 39%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Juventus strength rating 1625 v Fiorentina 1579
- Juventus away record this season: 2W 1D 2L
- Fiorentina home form: 0W 2D 3L, 5 scored / 11 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Juventus +1 v Fiorentina -10
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 34%, goals 43%, recent form 43%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model34%
- Goals model43%
- Recent-form model43%
Component disagreement: 9.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 39% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 39%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.