Juventus v Napoli
18+Serie A · Sun 1 Nov, 19:45
Data: good
- Juventus win
- 40%
- Draw
- 26%
- Napoli win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Juventus to win
Model probability 40%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Juventus strength rating 1625 v Napoli 1642
- Juventus home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
- Napoli away form: 2W 1D 2L, 9 scored / 6 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 43%, goals 39%, recent form 37%)
Main uncertainty: Napoli are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model39%
- Recent-form model37%
Component disagreement: 5.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 40% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 40%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.