Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV
18+Bundesliga · Sun 1 Nov, 16:30
Data: good
- Eintracht Frankfurt win
- 49%
- Draw
- 22%
- Hamburger SV win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt to win
Model probability 49%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Eintracht Frankfurt strength rating 1605 v Hamburger SV 1596
- Eintracht Frankfurt home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
- Hamburger SV away form: 1W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 10 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Eintracht Frankfurt -7 v Hamburger SV -10
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 48%, goals 53%, recent form 44%)
Main uncertainty: Hamburger SV are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model48%
- Goals model53%
- Recent-form model44%
Component disagreement: 9.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 49% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 49%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.