Borussia Dortmund v Elversberg
18+Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov, 14:30
Data: good
- Borussia Dortmund win
- 56%
- Draw
- 20%
- Elversberg win
- 24%
FootyGrounds prediction
Borussia Dortmund to win
Model probability 56%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score51 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Borussia Dortmund strength rating 1655 v Elversberg 1623
- Borussia Dortmund home record this season: 3W 1D 0L
- Elversberg away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 8 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Borussia Dortmund +8 v Elversberg 0
- Borussia Dortmund unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 56% (Elo 52%, goals 60%, recent form 61%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model52%
- Goals model60%
- Recent-form model61%
Component disagreement: 8.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 56% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 56%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.