Elversberg v SC Freiburg
18+Bundesliga · Sat 21 Nov, 14:30
Data: good
- Elversberg win
- 41%
- Draw
- 24%
- SC Freiburg win
- 35%
FootyGrounds prediction
Elversberg to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Elversberg strength rating 1623 v SC Freiburg 1637
- Elversberg home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
- SC Freiburg away form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 38%, recent form 43%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model38%
- Recent-form model43%
Component disagreement: 5.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.