TSG Hoffenheim v Schalke 04
18+Bundesliga · Sun 8 Nov, 18:30
Data: good
- TSG Hoffenheim win
- 49%
- Draw
- 23%
- Schalke 04 win
- 28%
FootyGrounds prediction
TSG Hoffenheim to win
Model probability 49%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- TSG Hoffenheim strength rating 1616 v Schalke 04 1609
- TSG Hoffenheim home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
- Schalke 04 away form: 1W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
- Superior goal difference: TSG Hoffenheim 0 v Schalke 04 -3
- TSG Hoffenheim have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 48%, goals 48%, recent form 52%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model48%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model52%
Component disagreement: 4.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 49% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 49%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.