Paderborn v Eintracht Frankfurt
18+Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov, 14:30
Data: good
- Paderborn win
- 47%
- Draw
- 24%
- Eintracht Frankfurt win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Paderborn to win
Model probability 47%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Paderborn strength rating 1606 v Eintracht Frankfurt 1605
- Paderborn home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
- Eintracht Frankfurt away form: 1W 1D 2L, 6 scored / 11 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Paderborn -3 v Eintracht Frankfurt -7
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 47% (Elo 46%, goals 49%, recent form 47%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model49%
- Recent-form model47%
Component disagreement: 2.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 48% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 47%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.