VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen
18+Bundesliga · Sat 7 Nov, 17:30
Data: good
- VfB Stuttgart win
- 39%
- Draw
- 25%
- Werder Bremen win
- 36%
FootyGrounds prediction
VfB Stuttgart to win
Model probability 39%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- VfB Stuttgart strength rating 1605 v Werder Bremen 1631
- VfB Stuttgart home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
- Werder Bremen away form: 1W 2D 1L, 7 scored / 9 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 41%, goals 41%, recent form 32%)
Main uncertainty: Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model41%
- Goals model41%
- Recent-form model32%
Component disagreement: 8.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 40% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 39%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.