Blackburn Rovers v West Ham United
18+EFL Championship · Sat 7 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Blackburn Rovers win
- 37%
- Draw
- 26%
- West Ham United win
- 37%
FootyGrounds prediction
West Ham United to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- West Ham United strength rating 1610 v Blackburn Rovers 1569
- West Ham United away record this season: 3W 3D 0L
- Blackburn Rovers home form: 4W 0D 2L, 11 scored / 7 conceded
- Superior goal difference: West Ham United +16 v Blackburn Rovers +2
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 34%, goals 44%, recent form 33%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. Blackburn Rovers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model34%
- Goals model44%
- Recent-form model33%
Component disagreement: 10.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 37% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 37%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.