Preston North End v Sheffield United
18+EFL Championship · Tue 3 Nov, 19:45
Data: excellent
- Preston North End win
- 29%
- Draw
- 25%
- Sheffield United win
- 45%
FootyGrounds prediction
Sheffield United to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Sheffield United strength rating 1566 v Preston North End 1492
- Sheffield United away record this season: 2W 2D 2L
- Preston North End home form: 1W 1D 4L, 5 scored / 10 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Sheffield United +2 v Preston North End -17
- Sheffield United have won 3 of their last 5
- Preston North End played just 3 days ago
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 39%, goals 50%, recent form 51%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model39%
- Goals model50%
- Recent-form model51%
Component disagreement: 12.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 44% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.