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Swansea City v West Bromwich Albion

18+

EFL Championship · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00

Data: excellent
Swansea City win
46%
Draw
24%
West Bromwich Albion win
29%

FootyGrounds prediction

Swansea City to win

Model probability 46%

Predicted scoreline

1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • Swansea City strength rating 1583 v West Bromwich Albion 1578
  • Swansea City home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
  • West Bromwich Albion away form: 3W 1D 2L, 7 scored / 7 conceded
  • Swansea City have won 3 of their last 5
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 47%, goals 42%, recent form 51%)

Main uncertainty: West Bromwich Albion are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model47%
  • Goals model42%
  • Recent-form model51%

Component disagreement: 8.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.