Wrexham v Wolverhampton Wanderers
18+EFL Championship · Sat 7 Nov, 12:30
Data: excellent
- Wrexham win
- 37%
- Draw
- 27%
- Wolverhampton Wanderers win
- 36%
FootyGrounds prediction
Wrexham to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Wrexham strength rating 1548 v Wolverhampton Wanderers 1577
- Wrexham home record this season: 2W 2D 2L
- Wolverhampton Wanderers away form: 3W 1D 2L, 10 scored / 9 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 40%, goals 34%, recent form 36%)
Main uncertainty: Wolverhampton Wanderers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model40%
- Goals model34%
- Recent-form model36%
Component disagreement: 6.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 38% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 37%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.