Wolverhampton Wanderers v Charlton Athletic
18+EFL Championship · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Wolverhampton Wanderers win
- 60%
- Draw
- 19%
- Charlton Athletic win
- 21%
FootyGrounds prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
Model probability 60%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score54 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Wolverhampton Wanderers strength rating 1577 v Charlton Athletic 1534
- Wolverhampton Wanderers home record this season: 3W 2D 1L
- Charlton Athletic away form: 1W 2D 3L, 6 scored / 13 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Wolverhampton Wanderers +6 v Charlton Athletic -8
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 60% (Elo 54%, goals 60%, recent form 71%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model54%
- Goals model60%
- Recent-form model71%
Component disagreement: 16.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.