Blackburn Rovers v Stoke City
18+EFL Championship · Tue 3 Nov, 19:45
Data: excellent
- Blackburn Rovers win
- 43%
- Draw
- 25%
- Stoke City win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
Blackburn Rovers to win
Model probability 43%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Blackburn Rovers strength rating 1569 v Stoke City 1579
- Blackburn Rovers home record this season: 4W 0D 2L
- Stoke City away form: 3W 1D 2L, 8 scored / 10 conceded
- Blackburn Rovers have won 3 of their last 5
- Stoke City played just 3 days ago
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 44%, goals 43%, recent form 38%)
Main uncertainty: Stoke City are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model43%
- Recent-form model38%
Component disagreement: 5.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 44% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:05), now 43%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.