Sheffield United v Watford
18+EFL Championship · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Sheffield United win
- 60%
- Draw
- 19%
- Watford win
- 21%
FootyGrounds prediction
Sheffield United to win
Model probability 60%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score52 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Sheffield United strength rating 1566 v Watford 1517
- Sheffield United home record this season: 3W 2D 2L
- Watford away form: 0W 1D 6L, 4 scored / 14 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Sheffield United +2 v Watford -11
- Sheffield United have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 60% (Elo 55%, goals 58%, recent form 74%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 19 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model55%
- Goals model58%
- Recent-form model74%
Component disagreement: 19.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:12. Read the methodology.